A major global humanitarian crisis arose as a result of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in late February 2022. This invasion has had enormous and long-lasting political and economic consequences not only for Ukraine but for all countries worldwide. The food security of hundreds of millions of people, especially in low-income grain-importing countries, deteriorated significantly. This is because, as of 2021, Ukraine was among the top 7 global exporters of grains and oilseeds. Currently, Ukrainian agricultural production and exports are at high risk and uncertainty due to the war, which also has a long-term impact on Ukraine’s economic growth.

This project aims to quantitatively assess and monitor the consequences of the war for Ukraine. Specifically, we analyze the food security situation in Ukraine, forecasts for agricultural production in Ukraine, the response and development of agricultural policies during the war, and assess the damage and losses caused by the war to the agricultural sector and infrastructure.

The project is carried out in collaboration with the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD), and the World Bank.

Project Materials:

Losses, Damages, and Needs of the Ukrainian Agro-Industrial Complex (APK)

Future of Agricultural and Food Markets in Ukraine: Forecast Estimates

Review of Food Security and Policy in Ukraine

Food Processing. What’s next?