Development of a tool for assessing the resilience of agri-food systems and consumption during crises

History demonstrates a certain level of crisis resilience in the Ukrainian agriculture sector. Production sectors such as grains, oilseeds, poultry, and eggs have shown growth despite crises in the 2000s, Russia’s invasion in 2014, and COVID-19. Conversely, pork, beef, and most vegetable production do not exhibit such characteristics; many of them tend to decline. In this regard, the Ukrainian agro-sector provides a scientific foundation for determining the indicators of agri-food system resilience to crises and the development of a measurement tool.

As the world faces various crises in recent decades, such as those related to the COVID-19 pandemic, rising prices for agricultural products and corresponding production resources, climate change, local and global financial and macroeconomic crises, determining indicators of agri-food system resilience is of utmost importance. They can serve as a basis for the development of effective agricultural policies. Nevertheless, Russia’s invasion in 2022 presented the Ukrainian agro-sector with another incredibly complex challenge.

The project aims to understand what enables Ukrainian agriculture to withstand shocks and adapt to new conditions.

The objectives of the project are following:

development of a state-of-the-art tool for quantitatively assessing the resilience of the Ukrainian agri-food system and land use to socio-economic shocks, with a special emphasis on the impact of Russia’s invasion;

development of an innovative, specialized tool for measuring the socio-economic resilience of food consumption in Ukraine, with a particular focus on the impact of Russia’s invasion.

The project is carried out in collaboration with Wageningen University and Research